Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.054005 0.058554 0.063154 0.068148 0.073410 0.078781 0.084672
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.047143 0.053894 0.060963 0.068891 0.077506 0.086558 0.096762
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.042098 0.050488 0.059552 0.070006 0.081668 0.094216 0.108676
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.039538 0.049437 0.060419 0.073388 0.088169 0.104381 0.123392
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.034228 0.044765 0.056788 0.071340 0.088292 0.107243 0.129850
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.030559 0.041663 0.054664 0.070748 0.089848 0.111553 0.137826
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.027560 0.039097 0.052940 0.070415 0.091532 0.115885 0.145747
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.026306 0.038563 0.053565 0.072815 0.096397 0.123908 0.157980
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.024655 0.037378 0.053268 0.073991 0.099725 0.130084 0.168045
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.023087 0.036174 0.052841 0.074917 0.102685 0.135786 0.177547
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.021095 0.034257 0.051377 0.074426 0.103808 0.139214 0.184290
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.019926 0.033375 0.051186 0.075501 0.106841 0.144947 0.193821
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.018183 0.031613 0.049787 0.075004 0.107930 0.148374 0.200693
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.016889 0.030409 0.049071 0.075352 0.110069 0.153106 0.209198
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.015910 0.029595 0.048835 0.076296 0.112954 0.158768 0.218879
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.015824 0.030109 0.050450 0.079750 0.119141 0.168641 0.233878
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.013977 0.027795 0.047957 0.077509 0.117771 0.168885 0.236806
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.012757 0.026371 0.046660 0.076844 0.118431 0.171676 0.242916
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.011720 0.025164 0.045613 0.076471 0.119436 0.174886 0.249548
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011524 0.025336 0.046613 0.079000 0.124383 0.183235 0.262778
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.011012 0.024935 0.046722 0.080238 0.127569 0.189303 0.273124
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.010470 0.024444 0.046663 0.081214 0.130389 0.194900 0.282890
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.009619 0.023343 0.045608 0.080693 0.131109 0.197714 0.289061